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Blackjack Insurance
Insurance is perhaps the least understood of all the
commonly available rules for Blackjack. This is not necessarily a bad
thing because the insurance bet is normally a poor bet for the player,
with a high house advantage. However, that's not always the case. So,
here we go:
If the dealer turns an up-card of an Ace, he will offer "Insurance" to
the players. Insurance bets can be made by betting up to half your
original bet amount in the insurance betting stripe in front of your bet.
The dealer will check to see if he has a 10-value card underneath his
Ace, and if he does have Blackjack, your winning Insurance bet will be
paid at odds of 2:1. You'll lose your original bet of course (unless you
also have a Blackjack), so the net effect is that you break even
(assuming you bet the full half bet for insurance.) This is why the bet
is described as "insurance", since it seems to protect your original bet
against a dealer blackjack. Of course, if the dealer does not have
blackjack, you'll lose the insurance bet, and still have to play the
original bet out.
In the simplest description, Insurance is a side-bet, where you are
offered 2:1 odds that the dealer has a 10-valued card underneath ("in the
hole"). A quick check of the odds yields this: In a single deck game,
there are 16 ten-valued cards. Assuming that you don't see any other
cards, including your own, the tens compose 16 out of 51 remaining cards
after the dealer's Ace was removed. For the insurance bet to be a
break-even bet, the hole card would have to be a ten 1 out of 3 times,
but 16/51 is only 1 in 3.1875.
The situation is often thought to be different when you have a Blackjack.
The dealer is likely to offer you "even money" instead of the insurance
bet. This is just the same old insurance bet with a simplification thrown
in. Let's ignore the "even money" name, and look at what happens when you
insure a Blackjack. Let's say you bet $10, and have a Blackjack. You
would normally collect $15 for this, unless the dealer also has a
blackjack, in which case you push or tie.
Let's assume that the dealer has an Ace up, and you decide to take
insurance for the full amount, or $5. Now, two things can happen:
1) The dealer has a Blackjack. I tie with the $10, but collect 2:1 on the
$5 insurance bet for a total profit of $10.
2) The dealer does not have Blackjack. I lose the $5, but collect $15 for
my BJ. Total profit, again $10.
In either case, once I make the insurance bet, I'm guaranteed a profit of
$10, or even money for my original bet.
So, casinos allow me to eliminate the insurance bet altogether, and
simply declare that I want even money for my blackjack when the dealer
has an Ace showing.
You're probably thinking that sounds like a pretty good deal. You're
guaranteed a profit even if the dealer does have Blackjack. Just remember
that the guaranteed profit comes at a price. You'll win more money in the
long run by holding out for the $15, even though you'll sometimes end up
empty-handed. Nonetheless, many players are adamant that they prefer to
take even money when offered. Just be aware that you're costing yourself
money when you make that choice.
The basic strategy player should simply never take the insurance bet,
even the "even money" variety. Card counters on the other hand can often
detect situations where more than one-third of the remaining cards are
ten-valued, and the bet is then a profitable one. So, unless you know the
bet is favorable, just ignore it.
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